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Renewables investment doubles fossil fuels as COP31 leaders warn of global energy crisis

António Guterres

Türkiye, November 11: Global investment in clean energy has reached twice the amount flowing into fossil fuels, marking a significant shift in the international energy market, as world leaders at COP31 called for faster electrification to strengthen energy security and protect economies from volatile fuel prices.

Addressing the High-Level Segment for Heads of State and Government at the UN climate summit in Antalya on Wednesday, Australia’s COP31 President of Negotiations Chris Bowen said global investment in clean energy had reached $2.2 trillion last year, twice the investment in fossil fuels.

The shift is reshaping the global energy landscape, with renewable energy increasingly emerging as a major source of new electricity supply, economic investment and employment.

However, growing geopolitical tensions, energy supply disruptions and rapidly rising electricity demand are creating fresh challenges for governments and businesses.

Bowen described the current situation as a global “polycrisis”, with energy insecurity, armed conflicts, inflationary pressures and the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence placing unprecedented demands on national economies.

“The largest energy security crisis in our history” is coinciding with growing pressure on household living costs and the urgent need to decarbonise energy systems, he said.

Fossil fuel volatility threatens economic stability

UN Climate Change Executive Secretary Simon Stiell warned that instability in global energy markets and climate-related disasters were intensifying inflation, putting pressure on government budgets, increasing household energy bills and reducing living standards.

“The political costs of fossil fuel dependency are unforgiving,” Stiell told world leaders.

He argued that greater reliance on renewable energy could help countries build more secure energy systems and reduce their exposure to international fuel price fluctuations.

Clean energy investment now exceeds investment in fossil fuels, while global employment in the clean energy sector has also surpassed fossil fuel employment, he said.

Stiell described international climate cooperation as an important driver of this transformation, saying earlier commitments had helped reduce projected global warming from more than 4°C before the Paris Agreement to approximately 2.6°C today.

However, he warned that existing efforts remained insufficient to meet global climate objectives.

Electricity demand creates new market opportunities

The growing demand for electricity, particularly from artificial intelligence and data centres, is emerging as a major factor in the future global energy market.

Bowen said the expansion of AI technologies and the data centres required to support them would significantly increase electricity consumption, potentially putting additional pressure on energy prices.

But he argued that this rising demand could also accelerate investment in renewable energy, which he described as the cheapest form of new energy generation.

Rather than viewing digitalisation and decarbonisation as competing priorities, governments should use the expansion of data centres to accelerate clean electricity deployment, he said.

Bowen called for greater electrification across economies, alongside investment in diverse energy sources and infrastructure to reduce dependence on vulnerable international supply chains.

The COP31 negotiations president also urged countries to improve energy sovereignty, reliability and security by diversifying their energy systems.

Global energy investment shifts towards clean technologies

The $2.2 trillion invested in clean energy last year highlights the growing importance of renewable technologies in global capital markets.

The investment trend is also creating employment opportunities and changing the economic relationship between energy production, industrial development and electricity consumption.

Bowen said clean energy jobs worldwide now outnumber jobs in the fossil fuel industry, reflecting the scale of the structural changes taking place in the global energy economy.

He called on governments to maintain consistent climate policies to provide confidence for investors, businesses and financial institutions.

Success at COP31, he said, would help governments implement their climate commitments while giving investors the confidence to deploy capital and businesses the certainty needed for long-term planning.

The conference is expected to focus on turning existing climate commitments into practical investment opportunities, particularly in renewable energy, electricity infrastructure and climate resilience.

COP31 pushes 35-by-35 electrification target

One of the key priorities emerging from the Antalya summit is the ambition to increase electricity’s share of global final energy consumption from around one-fifth to approximately one-third by 2035.

The proposed Global Electrification Pledge, known as the 35-by-35 target, aims to accelerate the electrification of transport, buildings and industrial activities.

Bowen said the initiative offered a practical pathway towards reducing fossil fuel dependence while supporting economic development.

Achieving the target will require substantial investment in renewable power generation, electricity transmission and distribution networks, energy storage and modern grid infrastructure.

The challenge is particularly significant for developing economies, where inadequate electricity infrastructure and limited access to affordable finance continue to constrain industrial expansion.

Climate finance remains a major challenge

Stiell said climate action must deliver tangible economic benefits to a wider section of the global population, particularly in developing and climate-vulnerable countries.

He called for a substantial expansion of adaptation finance and improved access to affordable funding to help countries strengthen their resilience against climate-related disasters.

Bowen also highlighted the unequal distribution of climate finance, noting that only 0.2 per cent of global climate finance goes to small island developing states for climate adaptation.

He called for faster, simpler and fairer financing arrangements to turn national climate commitments into bankable projects.

The COP31 leadership is pursuing two parallel tracks: formal climate negotiations and the Global Climate Action Agenda, which aims to connect governments, investors and businesses with practical economic solutions.

Energy transition becomes an economic and security priority

The discussions in Antalya reflect a growing recognition that the global energy transition is no longer solely an environmental issue.

Energy security, industrial competitiveness, investment opportunities, employment and the cost of living are increasingly central to the debate.

For countries heavily dependent on imported oil, gas and coal, expanding domestic renewable energy could reduce exposure to international price shocks and strengthen external economic stability.

However, the transition will require substantial capital investment, reliable electricity networks, energy storage and supportive regulatory frameworks.

Bowen urged governments to maintain international cooperation despite geopolitical tensions, arguing that countries needed more collaboration, rather than less, to address the interconnected challenges facing the global economy.

He said COP31 should send a clear signal to financial markets and businesses that governments remained committed to accelerating climate action.

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